Educational Leadership Enhanced by Machine Learning: Proposal for a Conceptual Model for Executive Decision-Making in Public Educational Institutions in Peru
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.71459/edutech2026139Keywords:
machine learning, educational leadership, evidence-based school management, school principals, public educational institutions, ArequipaAbstract
School leadership is, after teachers' classroom practice, the second within-school factor with the greatest influence on student learning outcomes. In Arequipa's public educational institutions, however, principals' decision-making still relies mainly on experience and fragmented information, since the systematic use of evidence for school management remains an exceptional practice within the Peruvian educational system. At the same time, machine learning has become a consolidated tool capable of anticipating dropout risk, characterising school performance and sustaining dashboards for educational management. Nevertheless, the literature reviewed shows a disconnection between the technical advances of ML applied to education and the pedagogical leadership frameworks currently in force in developing countries' educational systems, which are marked by digital divides, low data literacy and technology-adoption barriers. This theoretical-conceptual article proposes an integrative model termed Machine-Learning-Augmented Educational Leadership (LEA-ML, for its Spanish acronym) articulating six dimensions: baseline pedagogical leadership, data infrastructure, the ML analytical layer, augmented decision interpretation, ethical governance and organisational adoption. The model was built through an integrative documentary analysis of 54 sources indexed in Scopus, Web of Science, Redalyc, SciELO, Dialnet and ERIC, published mostly between 2015 and 2026. Its relevance for the Arequipa context is discussed considering the existing infrastructure of the Educational Institution Management Support Information System (SIAGIE) and the region's persistent connectivity gaps. It is concluded that the model offers a pertinent theoretical basis for future empirical validation aimed at strengthening evidence-based school management among public-school principals.
References
Arar, K., Tlili, A., & Salha, S. (2026). Human-machine symbiosis in educational leadership in the era of artificial intelligence (AI): Where are we heading? Educational Management Administration & Leadership. Publicación anticipada en línea. https://doi.org/10.1177/17411432241292295
Arias Gallegos, W. (2015). Tecnologías de la información y la comunicación en colegios públicos y privados de Arequipa. Interacciones, 1(1), 11–28. https://doi.org/10.24016/2015.v1n1.1
Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo. (2022, 19 de abril). 6 cosas que no sabías sobre la gestión educativa en América Latina y el Caribe. Enfoque Educación. https://blogs.iadb.org/educacion/es/6-cosas-que-no-sabias-sobre-la-gestion-educativa-en-america-latina-y-el-caribe/
Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo. (s.f.). Directores de escuela en América Latina y el Caribe: ¿Líderes del cambio o sujetos a cambio? BID.
Bass, B. M. (1985). Leadership and performance beyond expectations. Free Press.
Bass, B. M., & Avolio, B. J. (1994). Improving organizational effectiveness through transformational leadership. Sage Publications.
Bhutto, R., Batool, K., Soomro, P., Ali, M. H., & Qureshi, M. N. M. (2026). A comprehensive review of machine learning algorithms for predicting student dropouts in educational data mining. Advance Social Science Archive Journal, 5(2), 1361–1370.
Bienkowski, M., Feng, M., & Means, B. (2012). Enhancing teaching and learning through educational data mining and learning analytics: An issue brief. U.S. Department of Education, Office of Educational Technology.
Boateng, O. (2025). Algorithmic bias in educational systems: Examining the impact of AI-driven decision making in modern education. World Journal of Advanced Research and Reviews, 25(1), 2012–2017. https://doi.org/10.30574/wjarr.2025.25.1.0253
Burns, J. M. (1978). Leadership. Harper & Row.
Bush, T. (2025). Instructional leadership in the 21st century: Building on the Hallinger and Murphy PIMRS model. Educational Management Administration & Leadership. Publicación anticipada en línea. https://doi.org/10.1177/17411432251327800
CARE Perú. (2023). Brecha digital en educación: ¿Cómo afecta a las y los estudiantes y qué estamos haciendo para cerrarla? CARE Perú.
ComexPerú. (2026, 10 de mayo). Brechas de conectividad en la educación peruana. Semanario ComexPerú. https://www.comexperu.org.pe/articulo/brechas-de-conectividad-en-la-educacion-peruana
Davis, F. D. (1989). Perceived usefulness, perceived ease of use, and user acceptance of information technology. MIS Quarterly, 13(3), 319–340. https://doi.org/10.2307/249008
Davis, F. D., Bagozzi, R. P., & Warshaw, P. R. (1989). User acceptance of computer technology: A comparison of two theoretical models. Management Science, 35(8), 982–1003.
Fernandes, J. (2023). The role of data-driven decision-making in effective educational leadership. Academy of Educational Leadership Journal, 27(Special Issue 2), 1–3.
Fernandes, V. (2019). Investigating the role of data-driven decision-making within school improvement processes. En Evidence-based initiatives for organizational change and development (pp. 201–219). IGI Global.
Gestión. (2024, 2 de marzo). Brecha digital en escuelas públicas: Solo 1 computadora por cada 12 estudiantes de primaria [Censo educativo 2023]. Gestión. https://gestion.pe/peru/brecha-digital-en-escuelas-publicas-solo-1-computadora-por-cada-12-estudiantes-de-primaria-censo-educativo-2023-ministerio-de-educacion-noticia/
Gümüş, S., Bellibaş, M. Ş., Esen, M., & Gümüş, E. (2018). A systematic review of studies on leadership models in educational research from 1980 to 2014. Educational Management Administration & Leadership, 46(1), 25–48.
Hallinger, P. (2003). Leading educational change: Reflections on the practice of instructional and transformational leadership. Cambridge Journal of Education, 33(3), 329–352.
Hallinger, P., & Heck, R. H. (1996). Reassessing the principal's role in school effectiveness: A review of empirical research, 1980–1995. Educational Administration Quarterly, 32(1), 5–44.
Hallinger, P., & Murphy, J. (1985). Assessing the instructional management behavior of principals. The Elementary School Journal, 86(2), 217–247.
Hallinger, P., Liu, S., Aung, P. N., & Yan, M. (2025). A systematic review of instructional leadership research conducted with the Principal Instructional Management Rating Scale (PIMRS), 1983–2024. Educational Management Administration & Leadership. Publicación anticipada en línea. https://doi.org/10.1177/17411432251358575
Halverson, R., Grigg, J., Prichett, R., & Thomas, C. (2007). The new instructional leadership: Creating data-driven instructional systems in schools. Journal of School Leadership, 17(2), 159–194.
Henadirage, A., & Gunarathne, N. (2025). Barriers to and opportunities for the adoption of generative artificial intelligence in higher education in the Global South: Insights from Sri Lanka. International Journal of Artificial Intelligence in Education, 35, 245–281. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40593-024-00439-5
Kabathova, J., & Drlik, M. (2021). Towards predicting student's dropout in university courses using different machine learning techniques. Applied Sciences, 11(7), 3130.
Legris, P., Ingham, J., & Collerette, P. (2003). Why do people use information technology? A critical review of the technology acceptance model. Information & Management, 40(3), 191–204.
Leithwood, K., & Sun, J. (2012). The nature and effects of transformational school leadership: A meta-analytic review of unpublished research. Educational Administration Quarterly, 48(3), 387–423. https://doi.org/10.1177/0013161X11436268
Leithwood, K., Sun, J., & Schumacker, R. (2020). How school leadership influences student learning: A test of «the four paths model». Educational Administration Quarterly, 56(4), 570–599. https://doi.org/10.1177/0013161X19878772
Levin, J. A., & Datnow, A. (2012). The principal role in data-driven decision making: Using case-study data to develop multi-mediator models of educational reform. School Effectiveness and School Improvement, 23(2), 179–201.
Miao, F., Holmes, W., Huang, R., & Zhang, H. (2021). AI and education: Guidance for policy-makers. UNESCO.
Miao, F., & Shiohira, K. (2024). AI competency framework for students. UNESCO.
Ministerio de Educación del Perú. (2014). Marco de Buen Desempeño del Directivo. MINEDU.
Ministerio de Educación del Perú. (2021). Plan de cierre de brecha digital. MINEDU.
Ministerio de Educación del Perú. (s.f.). SIAGIE: Sistema de Información de Apoyo a la Gestión de la Institución Educativa. Recuperado el 11 de julio de 2026, de https://siagie.minedu.gob.pe
Mitchell, T. M. (1997). Machine learning. McGraw-Hill.
Organización de Estados Iberoamericanos. (2024). Liderazgo y gobernanza en educación en Iberoamérica. OEI.
Rahmatullah, R. (2025). School principals' digital leadership role on integration of technology in education: A review. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5288658
Reina-Parrado, M., Román-Graván, P., & Hervás-Gómez, C. (2025). Integration of artificial intelligence and machine learning in education: A systematic review. International Journal of Educational Methodology, 11(2), 203–216. https://doi.org/10.12973/ijem.11.2.203
Robinson, V. M. J., Lloyd, C. A., & Rowe, K. J. (2008). The impact of leadership on student outcomes: An analysis of the differential effects of leadership types. Educational Administration Quarterly, 44(5), 635–674.
Rogha, M. (2023). Explain to decide: A human-centric review on the role of explainable artificial intelligence in AI-assisted decision making (arXiv:2312.11507). arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2312.11507
Romero, C., & Ventura, S. (2010). Educational data mining: A review of the state of the art. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Part C: Applications and Reviews, 40(6), 601–618. https://doi.org/10.1109/TSMCC.2010.2053532
Romero, C., & Ventura, S. (2020). Educational data mining and learning analytics: An updated survey. WIREs Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery, 10(3), Artículo e1355. https://doi.org/10.1002/widm.1355
Sabzalieva, E., & Valentini, A. (2023). ChatGPT and artificial intelligence in higher education. UNESCO.
Siemens, G., & Baker, R. S. J. d. (2012). Learning analytics and educational data mining: Towards communication and collaboration. En Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Learning Analytics and Knowledge (pp. 252–254). ACM.
Snyder, H. (2019). Literature review as a research methodology: An overview and guidelines. Journal of Business Research, 104, 333–339. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2019.07.039
Spillane, J. P. (2006). Distributed leadership. Jossey-Bass.
Spillane, J. P., Halverson, R., & Diamond, J. B. (2001). Investigating school leadership practice: A distributed perspective. Educational Researcher, 30(3), 23–28. https://doi.org/10.3102/0013189X030003023
UNESCO. (2013). Enfoques estratégicos sobre TIC en educación en América Latina y el Caribe. Oficina Regional de Educación de la UNESCO para América Latina y el Caribe.
UNESCO. (2019). Consenso de Beijing sobre la inteligencia artificial y la educación. UNESCO.
UNESCO. (2021). Recomendación sobre la ética de la inteligencia artificial. UNESCO.
Vela-Quico, G. A., Cáceres-Coaquira, T. J., Vela-Quico, A. F., & Gamero-Torres, H. E. (2020). Liderazgo pedagógico en Arequipa-Perú: Competencias directivas. Revista de Ciencias Sociales, 26(Número Especial 2), 376–400. https://doi.org/10.31876/rcs.v26i0.34134
Weinstein, J., Peña, J., & Maldonado, F. (2025). Liderazgo distribuido en la educación en América Latina: Resultados de la encuesta a los ministerios de educación. Organización de Estados Iberoamericanos.
YIP Institute. (2025). Ensuring fairness in AI: Addressing algorithmic bias in education and hiring. Young Icons Professional Institute.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Rafael Romero-Carazas (Author)

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
The article is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License. Unless otherwise stated, associated published material is distributed under the same licence.
